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Crown Green Handicap

Tony Monaghan

Team: VulcanDivision: Division 1Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

1005

Current Handicap

6
Honours
Season:

38

Matches Played

24

Wins

14

Losses

63%

Win Rate

8.7

Avg Win Margin

7.2

Avg Loss Margin

13-8

Home Record

11-6

Away Record

86%

Handicap Confidence

Moderately Reliable
38 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/25/2026

A solid recent sample: 38 of 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The handicap is settling and now moves mainly with form.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins24/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 38 matches

+6 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

22 Apr17 Jun29 Jul2 Sept5 May9 Jun14 Jul25 Aug-14916

Gives 6 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current6
Win Percentage(40%)
63%
score+0.26→contribution+0.11
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
8.7
score+0.11→contribution+0.03
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.2
score+0.13→contribution+0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
50%
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Opponent Strength(10%)
934
score+0.19→contribution+0.02
Weighted Score+0.172
Sample Size Confidence
86%(38/41 matches)
Rating1052 → shrunk 1045→ adjusted 974
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)1052
Recency Blend40% (38 recent matches)
Final Rating1005
Handicap
6

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

24W14L38 matches·63.2% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Vulcan2025–2026Division 1, Division 238241463.2%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/25/2026Tommy O'DowdH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 1
8/18/2026Joe JacksonA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 1
8/4/2026Graham BrandA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 1
7/28/2026Brian HoughA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 1
7/21/2026Matt GartsideA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 1
7/14/2026Daniel RigbyH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 1
7/7/2026Derek BisselA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 1
6/30/2026Graham BakerH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 1
6/23/2026John DuncanA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
6/16/2026Kevin KearnsA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
6/9/2026Chris DagnallH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 1
6/2/2026David SwainH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
5/26/2026Stephen TinsleyH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 1
5/19/2026G OliverH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 1
5/12/2026Matt GartsideH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
5/5/2026Craig DitchfieldA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
4/28/2026Ben BrookesH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 1
4/21/2026Karl HoldenA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 1
4/14/2026Carl RodenH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 1
4/7/2026Simon TaylorH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 1
9/2/2025B WhalleyH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
8/26/2025Wayne RobinsonA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
8/19/2025G EdmundsH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
8/12/2025Ian ManchesterH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
8/5/2025Ged FinneyA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
7/29/2025B MurphyH21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 2
7/22/2025Ken BibbyA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
7/15/2025Alan WrightH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
7/8/2025Graham ParrH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
7/1/2025Steve BrownH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
6/17/2025Arthur HaggertyH21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision 2
6/10/2025Simon ChurchillA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
6/3/2025Tim WaineA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
5/27/2025Kieron FeeneyH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
4/29/2025David HeyesA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
4/22/2025Dave RahmanA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 2
4/15/2025Frank TwissH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
4/8/2025Danny EustaceA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2

Current Streak

2wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

7

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

4

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate
WWLWL
Last 1060% win rate— steady
WWLWLWLWWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Matt Gartside0220%7/21/2026
Tommy O'Dowd101100%8/25/2026
Joe Jackson101100%8/18/2026
Graham Brand0110%8/4/2026
Brian Hough101100%7/28/2026
Daniel Rigby101100%7/14/2026
Derek Bissel0110%7/7/2026
Graham Baker101100%6/30/2026
John Duncan101100%6/23/2026
Kevin Kearns0110%6/16/2026
Biggest Win
Arthur Haggerty (+18)6/17/2025
Heaviest Defeat
Matt Gartside (-15)7/21/2026
Best Season
202578% · 18 matches
Worst Season
202650% · 20 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
74% → 53%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
93438 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
4-931% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
20-580% win rate

By Division

Division 110-10 (50%)
Division 214-4 (78%)
Division 150%
10W·10L·20 played
Division 277.8%
14W·4L·18 played

Debut

Apr 8, 2025

Latest

Aug 25, 2026

Seasons Active

2 (1.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

19.0 (38 total)

Seasons

20252026